OpenClaw's "lobster-raising" wave is moving from developers into China's internet and software sectors at speed in early 2026. Unlike earlier large-model races centred on parameters and compute, this AI agent cycle is defined by a single question: who controls the user entry point?
The cost of running an AI query has fallen by roughly 99% over the past two years. That should be a story about savings. Instead, it's a story about demand.
In the second half of 2022, AI underwent a genuine structural inflection point. Frontier models began to demonstrate true generalization and multi-tasking capabilities at scale. Generalization meant these systems could apply learned semantic and analytical skills to new instructions and unfamiliar problem settings while maintaining stable performance. Multi-tasking meant a single foundation model could power translation, summarization, image generation, and question answering without requiring separate task-specific architectures.
On June 6, 2025, US President Donald Trump signed two executive orders—"Unleashing American Drone Dominance" and "Restoring American Airspace Sovereignty"—mandating that the US drone industry exclude technology, parts, and materials from controlled countries (China, Russia, Iran, North Korea). The orders encourage adopting allied technologies to build an autonomous, resilient domestic ecosystem supporting the low-altitude economy and critical defense needs.
The 2026 US National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA), signed at the end of 2025, introduces significant new business prospects for Taiwanese companies by emphasizing Taiwan's security and cooperation in defense procurement. Key provisions include a US$1 billion Taiwan security cooperation initiative and authorization for the US Department of Defense (DoD) to establish a joint unmanned systems program with Taiwan starting March 1, 2026, focusing on co-developing drones and counter-drone technologies.
US President Donald Trump has requested a fiscal year 2027 defense budget of US$1.5 trillion. This represents a nearly 50% increase from fiscal year 2026's roughly US$1 trillion. Trump's goal is clear: rebuild a strong military. Experts expect the budget to significantly boost procurement for expanded naval fleets, advanced aircraft, and new nuclear missile programs.
Rare earth metals are essential to modern industry and defense. They are found in high-performance motors, precision weapon guidance systems, and a range of green energy technologies. Yet the global rare earth supply chain has long suffered severe imbalances.
