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Taiwan-US tariff agreement expected to boost machine tool industry's global growth and reshape market dynamics

Chloe Liao, Taipei; Jingyue Hsiao, DIGITIMES Asia 0

Credit: DIGITIMES

Taiwan and the US have reached an agreement on a reciprocal 15% tariff for machine tools, eliminating stacked tariffs, a move anticipated to invigorate the sector in early 2026 after a challenging 2025. Industry leaders project increased investment from end customers, particularly in equipment procurement and advanced manufacturing technologies, driven by heightened semiconductor investments in the US market.

Patrick Chen, chairman of the Taiwan Machine Tool & Accessory Builders' Association (TMBA) and general manager of Yeong Chin Machinery Industries, described the clearer tariff environment as a stimulus that will generate strong buying momentum in the US. Beyond North America, the European machine tool market is seeing sustained demand, particularly from defense-related industries such as aerospace and unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) sectors. At the same time, Southeast Asia's expanding manufacturing base is also expected to bolster regional equipment purchases.

Long-term shifts reshape regional markets

The machine tool industry faces a significant transition in its regional market structure. TMBA executive director Lu Yan, who also represents Tongtai Machine & Tool, noted that the traditional focus on single, high-volume markets is giving way to a multi-market strategy anticipated to dominate in 2026. She highlighted that nearly all regions or countries will emerge as new growth drivers, reflecting a diversification trend within the industry.

Yan identified three primary forces reshaping global demand: differentiated national industrial policies, capacity restructuring, and supply chain realignment. Together, these trends present opportunities across a range of markets that Taiwanese manufacturers are well-positioned to exploit through their flexible, comprehensive product offerings.

In the US, reshoring efforts targeting key sectors such as semiconductors and aerospace are influencing machine tool demand, steering it away from traditional mass production toward the integration of high-precision, automated, and smart manufacturing solutions. American customers increasingly prefer advanced equipment capable of system integration to enhance production efficiency and meet stringent quality standards.

Europe's industrial landscape demands stability and long-term operational accuracy amid rapid equipment modernization driven by energy transition and defense realignment. Both established economies and emerging manufacturing hubs in Eastern Europe are favoring mid- to high-end machine tools that support sustained product development and process reliability. Yan emphasized that European buyers prioritize machines with proven operational quality suitable for their autonomous industrial strategies.

Southeast Asia's growing role for Taiwanese machine tools

Taiwanese manufacturers are expanding their footprint in Southeast Asia, where market growth is driven by countries such as Thailand and Vietnam, which maintain strong industrial linkages with Taiwan. Capacity expansions and evolving industrial structures in the region are enlarging demand for machine tools.

Additionally, Southeast Asia's growing importance as a "non-China, non-US" manufacturing hub offers Taiwanese firms strategic opportunities beyond traditional sectors such as automotive and motorcycle production. The growing presence of the ICT and electronics industries is expected to stimulate equipment purchases further, making the region a critical growth market for Taiwanese suppliers.

China's complex role in East Asia

China remains a significant factor in East Asia's machine tool market despite the persistent competition Taiwanese companies face. Chinese machine tools, often positioned in the low- to mid-price segments, exert pressure on global prices, yet domestic upgrading efforts in China maintain a competitive, evolving landscape. Yan stressed that opportunities for cooperation coexist with competition, suggesting a nuanced relationship between the Chinese and Taiwanese machine tool sectors.

Looking ahead to 2026, the industry's defining characteristic will be its geographic diversification. For Taiwanese firms equipped with adaptable product lines, this environment offers considerable advantages, as they can respond to the variances in national demand and capitalize on multiple emerging markets simultaneously.

The Taiwan-US tariff agreement thus not only promises immediate market stimulation but also aligns with broader regional shifts that will shape demand and competitive dynamics throughout the global machine tool industry.

Article edited by Jack Wu