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Jul 14
Global smartphone shipments fall to the lowest 2Q level since 2013 amid memory shortage

According to Counterpoint's latest market tracker, global smartphone shipments fell sharply in the second quarter of 2026, underscoring the memory crunch's impact on consumers, manufacturers, and retailers worldwide. Higher component costs, rising prices, and weaker demand in budget segments are now reshaping the market, with the disruption likely to influence availability, upgrade cycles, and handset pricing well beyond this year.

Apple's MacBook Neo is selling briskly, lifting the company's notebook brand shipments by more than 10% year on year in the second quarter of 2026, but supply shortages are emerging as a major risk. Supply-chain sources had expected MacBook Neo shipments to reach 10 million units in 2026, but a key component bottleneck could weigh on sales.

The United States' proposed Golden Dome missile defense system remains highly uncertain, but it is already emerging as a new market that US space and defense startups are racing to enter.

China's smartphone market is being reordered by the cost of the parts inside the phone rather than by any loss of appetite for the devices, and the second quarter of 2026 showed that shift rewards. Shipments fell to roughly 66 million units, down 4.3% year over year, according to IDC's Quarterly Mobile Phone Tracker released on July 14, the fifth consecutive quarter of decline, leaving first-half shipments at about 134 million units, down 4.2%. Yet within that shrinking pool, Huawei and Apple both grew by around 20% or more, pulling further ahead of an Android field that spent the quarter raising prices.

Apple is reportedly evaluating AI model compression technology from Silicon Valley startup PrismML as it seeks to run more capable AI models directly on iPhones, a move that could improve performance while reducing reliance on cloud computing.

Taiwan networking equipment makers posted strong results in June 2026, with rising demand for AI data center expansions, high-speed switches, and broadband network upgrades driving several companies to record-high monthly revenues. Some also set new quarterly and first-half records, as the market expects momentum to continue in the second half.

Optical leader Largan Precision said on July 9 that customer demand for new smartphones is picking up in the second half, while Chairman En-Ping Lin highlighted that strong technology and yield remain the decisive edge in a tougher market. He also said the company's high-end variable aperture lens will ramp in the third quarter, and periscope lens upgrades are set for 2027.
The rapid expansion of AI servers and large language models (LLMs) is driving unprecedented demand for data center computing, making high-speed interconnect technologies one of the next major battlegrounds in AI infrastructure.

Agentic AI is putting new pressure on enterprise networks and cybersecurity infrastructure as companies accelerate internal deployment, with Cisco and Foundry warning that more than 70% of enterprises see their current networks as unprepared for future AI demand.

China marked a major step in rocket reusability on July 10, 2026, after successfully recovering the first-stage booster of its Long March 10B rocket following an orbital launch mission.

New figures from Counterpoint Research estimate that the bill of materials (BOM) for the upcoming iPhone 18 Pro Max could rise nearly US$300 compared with the iPhone 17 Pro Max released in September last year. Ballooning memory costs largely account for this increase, although Apple may be better placed than most other smartphone brands to weather such price hikes.

India's smartphone buyers are increasingly turning to financing, a shift that could shape device sales patterns in other price-sensitive markets as well. Higher handset prices and easier installment options are making monthly payments more attractive than one-time purchases, especially beyond major cities, according to Counterpoint Research.