DIGITIMES has found that the advanced packaging market continues to expand as demand for AI chips rises and package sizes increase. OSATs and panel makers have been developing FOPLP technology in advance, while wafer fabs are pursuing CoPoS technology. Both aim to replace ABF substrates with glass substrates, or silicon interposers with glass interposers. At present, some OSATs and panel makers have already mass-produced FOPLP, but glass interposers have yet to enter mass production, mainly because through-glass via technology is still immature. Ibiden, a leading substrate supplier in Japan, expects the technology barriers to through-glass vias to be broken only by 2030, meaning advanced CoPoS using glass interposers is also unlikely to be commercialized before then.
As AI chip package areas increase in line with computing power requirements, the number of chips that can be packaged on a 12-inch wafer is falling, raising area waste. Warpage caused by the large mismatch in thermal expansion coefficients between traditional organic substrate materials such as ABF and silicon wafers is also becoming more severe. In addition, interposers, which serve as a bridge between different chips and packaging platforms, require ever larger areas, making it necessary to replace silicon wafers with lower-cost materials. Because of its compatible thermal expansion coefficient, high flatness, low signal loss, and low cost, glass substrate is regarded as the most suitable substitute. As a result, related companies are developing advanced packaging technologies based on glass substrates to meet market demand.
Relationship between foundry CoPoS and OSAT, panel makers' FOPLP
Technical differences between foundries and OSAT/panel makers
Taiwan panel makers' advanced packaging plans for semiconductors
Chart 2: Operating strategies for Taiwan panel makers' old fabs as they move into advanced packaging
OSATs/panel makers and TSMC will be both customers and competitors
Chart 3: Innolux expands its advanced packaging plan to cooperation with TSMC
TSMC's CoPoS mass-production timing in Taiwan hinges on pace of technical breakthroughs
Chart 5: TSMC's advanced packaging capacity expansion plan in Taiwan
TSMC's Arizona site aligned with US customer demand; will focus on CoPoS over long term
CoPoS bottleneck resolution slower than expected; will extend lifecycle of CoWoS products
Current status and outlook of other foundries' CoPoS-like technologies
Chart 8: Intel's roadmap for sub-2nm advanced process and advanced packaging expansion
Samsung affiliates team up to advance glass-substrate packaging; will start with smaller sizes
Chart 9: Samsung Group's glass-substrate advanced packaging plan
Chart 10: Rapidus's advanced process and advanced packaging development status and outlook
Powerchip's 3D AI Foundry plan could also extend to glass substrates

