Global server shipments performed weaker than DIGITIMES Research had anticipated, slipping 13.8% sequentially to fall below four million units. Having a lower comparison base in the same quarter a year ago and the fact that brand vendors are expected to begin volume shipments of servers with new CPU platforms, overall server shipments are expected to witness a low single-digit sequential growth in the second quarter of 2023.
Fourth-quarter 2022 global server shipments declined 7.1% from the prior quarter and 4.3% from the prior year and the volumes are expected to decline further by over 10% both on-quarterly and on-yearly in the first quarter of 2023
Taiwan-based manufacturers' combined 2022 server-related revenue is estimated to have grown nearly 16% to amount to NT$2.12 trillion, but in 2023, the amount will rise only 6.4% amid the weak global economy.
Amid a weak global economy, server brands and China-based server vendors will only have limited shipment growth in 2023 while cloud services providers will expand their data centers on a smaller scale compared to 2022.
Global server shipments went up 4.3% sequentially in the third quarter of 2022 due to rising demand from public cloud services providers and server brand vendors as well as ODMs' deferred orders from the previous quarter.
Digitimes Research forecasts a 5.2% increase in 2023 global server shipments, mainly driven by large US-based cloud service providers actively expanding their datacenter infrastructure. On top of that, the IC and component supply will gradually return to normal with COVID-19 becoming like the flu and Intel as well as AMD producing new-generation CPUs in volume is expected to spur some upgrade demand.
According to Digitimes Research's statistics and analyses, as China responded to COVID-19 resurgences with strict lockdown measures, which disrupted supply chain operations, and manufacturers still struggled with the problem of ICs and components having mixed levels of shortages, second-quarter 2022 global server shipments exhibited a 3.3% sequential growth, falling short of the forecast of nearly 9% growth given in April.
Processor suppliers Intel, AMD and Nvidia as well as server vendors QCT, Ingrasys, Gigabyte, Supermicro and Tyan had demonstrated their new offerings via hosting events themselves or participating in major international exhibitions such as Computex 2022 and ISC 2022 during the first half of 2022.
In first-quarter 2022, server manufacturers still struggled with the problem of some low-end ICs being in worse shortage than others and the Lunar New Year holidays slowed down their shipment momentum.