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PC shipments continued to slump during holiday quarter with recovery now looking like 2024, says IDC

, DIGITIMES Asia, Taipei
0

Credit: DIGITIMES

Global shipments for traditional PCs fell below expectations in the fourth quarter of 2022 as 67.2 million PCs were shipped, down 28.1% from the prior year, according to preliminary results from the IDC Worldwide Quarterly Personal Computing Device Tracker.

The fourth-quarter 2022 shipments are comparable to the fourth quarter of 2018, when the market was constrained by Intel's supply challenges. It is clear the pandemic boom is over for the PC market, but despite recent declines, annual shipments for 2022 were well above pre-pandemic levels at 292.3 million units for the full year. However, demand remains a concern as most users have relatively new PCs and the global economy worsens.

"Average selling prices (ASPs) across many channels also fell as excess channel inventory over the course of the past few months triggered discounting in an effort to spur demand," said Jitesh Ubrani, research manager for IDC's Mobility and Consumer Device Trackers. "Despite these efforts, inventory management of finished PCs as well as components will remain a key issue in the coming quarters and has the potential to further affect ASPs."

Supply side activity shows many large vendors entered 2023 with a cautious outlook, but the consensus is that portions of the PC market could return to growth in late 2023 with the overall market following in 2024. The commercial segment has several drivers towards growth, including the approaching end of support for Windows 10 and a building refresh cycle, while the consumer market remains a wildcard for 2023 and beyond.

"Consecutive quarters of declines clearly paint a gloomy picture of the PC market, but this is really all about perception," said Ryan Reith, group vice president with IDC's Worldwide Mobility and Consumer Device Trackers. "2021 was near historic levels for PC shipments, so any comparison is going to be distorted. There's no question when we look back at this time that the rise and fall of the PC market will be one for the record books, but plenty of opportunities still lie ahead. We firmly believe the market has the potential to recover in 2024 and we also see pockets of opportunity throughout the remainder of 2023."

IDC: Top-5 companies global traditional PC shipments, 4Q22 (m units)

Company

4Q22 shipments

4Q22 market share

4Q21 shipments

4Q21 market share

Y/Y

1. Lenovo

15.5

23%

21.6

23.1%

(28.5%)

2. HP

13.2

19.6%

18.6

19.9%

(29%)

3. Dell

10.8

16.1%

17.2

18.4%

(37.2%)

4. Apple

7.5

11.2%

7.7

8.2%

(2.1%)

5. Asustek

4.8

7.2%

6.1

6.5%

(20.9%)

Others

15.4

22.9%

22.3

23.9%

(31%)

Total

67.2

100%

93.5

100%

(28.1%)

Source: IDC, compiled by DIGITIMES, January 2023

IDC: Top-5 companies global traditional PC shipments, 2022 (m units)

Company

2022 shipments

2022 market share

2021 shipments

2021 market share

Y/Y

1. Lenovo

68

23.3%

81.8

23.4%

(16.9%)

2. HP

55.3

18.9%

74

21.1%

(25.3%)

3. Dell

49.8

17%

59.3

16.9%

(16.1%)

4. Apple

28.6

9.8%

27.9

8%

2.5%

5. Asustek

20.6

7%

21.8

6.2%

(5.7%)

Others

70.1

24%

85.2

24.3%

(17.8%)

Total

292.3

100%

350.1

100%

(16.5%)

Source: IDC, compiled by DIGITIMES, January 2023