Taipei, Thursday, November 27, 2014 16:33 (GMT+8)
light rain
Taipei
24°C
Global high-brightness LED market forecast
Jessie Lin, DIGITIMES Research, Taipei [Monday 18 March 2013]
Registration required (free) to purchase. Please sign in if you wish to continue.
Digitimes Research forecasts that the global LED lighting market will be worth US$25.4 billion in 2013, representing 54% growth on the 2012 figure of US$16.5 billion, while the LED lighting penetration rate will also rise to 18.6%. This report covers the various areas of the LED market including applications, LED street prices and the main players in the global LED supply chain, with forecasts mostly extending to 2015.
Abstract
Global LED lighting market size and penetration rates, 2009-2015 (US$m)

Digitimes Research forecasts that the global LED lighting market will be worth US$25.4 billion in 2013, representing 54% growth on the 2012 figure of US$16.5 billion, while the LED lighting penetration rate will also rise to 18.6%. In terms of technological improvements, the luminous efficacy of LEDs compared to traditional lighting continues to rise. Given that the US Department of Energy (DoE) development targets were set at 129 lm/W for warm white light LEDs and 164 lm/W for cold white light LEDs, a quick look at the track record of many manufacturers shows that the industry has surpassed the brightness standards set out in the DoE targets every year since their inception.

LED lighting product prices are likely to drop by 20-25% in 2013, as LED component performance/price ratios rise from 2012's 500 lm/US$ to 1,000 lm/US$ in 2013.

Looking further ahead to 2015, the US DoE targets are for LED component costs to drop 37% from 2013 levels, while 60W-equivalent LED bulb costs are to drop by 38% from 2013 levels by 2015. Assuming this is the case, LED lighting prices will then be at a price point even more acceptable to general consumers.

Lighting policy in many countries is also critical to the development of LED lighting, and this effect has been most marked in the Asia region. For example, Japan now has the highest LED lighting market penetration rate of any region, with the rate set to rise to 73.8% by 2015; South Korea's Korea Association for Photonics Industry Development (KAPID) projects that the country's LED lighting industry will have an output value of US$7.8 billion by 2015, 5.6 times the figure for 2012; while China's LED lighting market is growing by 30% per year, which will give the country nearly one third of total global output value for LED lighting in 2015.

All of these factors are driving major growth in the LED lighting market. Digitimes Research therefore projects that the global LED lighting market will be worth US$44.2 billion in 2015, while the market penetration rate will reach 38.6%.

Table of contents
Price: NT$48,000 (approx. US$1,685)

Wireless broadband developments in Southeast Asia markets

RESEARCH EXTRAS | Nov 12, 10:53

As of 2013, the 10 ASEAN nations had a total of over 700 million mobile subscriptions, with the CAGR from 2003-2013 reaching 24%, and the share of the global user base rising from 4.9% to a high of 10.6%. This Digitimes Research Special Report analyzes the various...

Trends and forecasts for the China FPD industry, 2014-2017

CHINA FPD | Oct 6, 12:29

With China being the world's IT production center and a country with some of the strongest consumer demand, along with benefits on custom tax, funding, loans, and subsidies provided by the government, China's FPD industry continues to show strong growth. Local...

Taiwan handsets – 3Q 2014

TAIWAN ICT | Nov 20, 10:53

Taiwan's top handset ODM Foxconn Electronics lost a significant amount of feature phone orders from Microsoft Mobile in the third quarter, while the biggest brand vendor HTC also saw a sharp decline in its shipments. But for others in Taiwan's handset sector,...

China smartphone market and industry – 3Q 2014

CHINA SMARTPHONE | Nov 14, 19:21

Looking at smartphone sales in the local China market, under the influence of stagnating sales of international brands, a lack of differentiating features in high-end and high-cost/performance ratio products marketed by China-based makers, and ultra-low-cost...

Taiwan LCD TVs – 3Q 2014

TAIWAN FPD | Nov 14, 15:51

Taiwan's LCD TV manufacturing sector saw mixed performances among its players in the third quarter of 2014, resulting in only slight growth in overall shipments. For the whole of 2014, the Taiwan makers are expected to see a 1.8% growth in shipments, falling...

Wireless broadband developments in Southeast Asia markets
DIGITIMES Marketing Services
Trends and developments in the OTT market
  • 2014 global high brightness LED market, trends and shipment forecast

    For the global LED lighting market, the market size will reach US$25.82 billion in 2014 or a market penetration rate of 23.4%. This is attributable to exponential shipment growth for light bulbs, tubes, and directional lamps.

  • Greater China touch panel shipment forecast through 2015

    This Special Report provides forecasts through 2015 for Greater China touch panel shipments with breakdowns based on technology (glass, film, resistive), application (smartphone, NB and tablet) and by firm.

  • 2014 global tablet demand forecast

    This report analyzes the main players, their strategies and shipments forecasts for 2014, as well as other factors contributing to either growth or decline in various segments within the tablet market, with a particular focus on Apple, Google, Samsung, and Microsoft, along with whitebox vendors.